Service Plays Sunday 7/18/10

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The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

The Rx.com will not tolerate posters that post false records of any services they track. Please be truthful if you decide to track a particular service.

Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Freddy Garcia (9-3, 4.36 ERA), Chicago White Sox

He may not possess front of the rotation stuff anymore, but Freddy Garcia is carving out a nice niche for himself as a reliable starter. The White Sox have taken the cash in eight straight Garcia starts and 11 of his last 12 outings.

"He's been pitching so good for us I can't even say anything more about Freddy," White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen told the Associated Press after Garcia didn’t allow an earned run in his last start.

Vicente Padilla (4-2, 4.04 ERA), Los Angeles Dodgers

Padilla is another veteran who’s found a second wind to his major league career. Once considered one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball, Padilla has been a perfect fit in Dodger blue.

The hard-throwing righty is 3-0 in his last three starts with a 1.25 ERA and a ridiculous 0.60 WHIP (walks + hits per inning).


Slumping

Jeff Suppan (0-5, 6.55 ERA), St. Louis Cardinals

Things haven’t gotten any better for Suppan since he rejoined the St. Louis Cardinals. Many thought pitching guru Dave Duncan would be able to work his magic like he’s do so many times before and fix Suppan’s problems.

But that’s not the way things have played out. The Cards are 1-4 in Suppan’s five starts and the hurler hasn’t pitched a full six innings in any of those outings.


Returning

Shawn Marcum (7-4, 3.44 ERA), Toronto Blue Jays

The Jays ace makes his return to the mound after a short stint on the disabled list due to a sore right elbow. He declared himself ready after throwing a bullpen session last weekend.

“My command was a little off but I wasn’t really worried about that. It was just getting out there and getting a feel for the ball again,” Marcum told the Toronto Sun after testing the elbow. “Other than that the arm felt great, it felt back to normal. It was a step in the right direction.”
 
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Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs (+145)

Philadelphia has struggled to find consistency in the offense recently but getting Placido Polanco back from the disabled list should jumpstart the lineup.

"It's going to help a whole lot," Phillies manager Charlie Manuel said. "It's going to give us a .300 hitter in the top of the order. That's what it's going to do for us."

The Phillies have scored three or fewer runs in six of their last 10 games. Last season, the team plated fewer than two runs only 39 times but this year the Phils have already failed to score three runs 29 times.

"We haven't hit for a long time," said Manuel. "We hit spurts where we come out of it. On a given night, we might score some runs, but it seems like we fall right back into it. Inconsistent play."

Polanco was back in action for the first time Saturday and made an immediate impact. With two outs in the top of the ninth, the pesky third baseman drove in the game-tying single off Cubs closer Carlos Marmol. Philly ended up tacking on three more in the inning to earn a 4-1 victory.

With Polanco back and Chase Utley’s return imminent, the Phillies are going to get back to their run-producing ways. Look for the offense to carry the momentum from Saturday over into Sunday and did we mention some guy named Roy Halladay is on the bump for Philly.

Pick: Phillies


New York Mets at San Francisco Giants (+110, 7)

The Mets aren’t going to be in contention in the NL East for much longer if they don’t start scoring some runs. Going into Saturday, New York had been shutout in three of its last four games and had plated an average of 2.1 runs per over its last seven contests.

"I still believe at some point that we have to unlock this offense a little bit," Mets manager Jerry Manuel said after Friday’s 1-0 loss to the Giants. "I didn't see us have very many opportunities or very many good swings at [Zito]. We've got to do a better job."

The Jints aren’t classified as an offensive juggernaut either. They started producing some runs during a nice, 6-1 stretch going into the All-Star break but have been fortunate to come away with wins in the first two games of this series after only plating three runners.

The under has cashed in seven straight for New York and the last three starts for Johan Santana have also gone under. Runs should come at a premium at the pitcher-friendly AT&T Park Sunday afternoon.

Pick: Under
 
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Sunday Night Baseball: Phillies at Cubs

Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs (+145)

The Phillies and Cubs conclude their four-game series at Wrigley Park under the Sunday night lights on ESPN.

Booster shot

It’s becoming obvious that the Phillies’ starting pitching may need a boost before the non-waiver trade deadline arrives in two weeks.

Surprisingly, the starting pitching opened the second half better than they have in three years. The rotation had a 3.95 ERA and opponents were hitting .259 against Phillies starters at the All-Star break.

A quick look at the same numbers from the previous three seasons show a 4.99 ERA and .277 average in 2007; 4.48 and .269 in 2008; and 4.98 and .283 in 2009 - when the Phillies won the National League East.

But there is major concern that 47-year-old lefthander Jamie Moyer has allowed 13 earned runs on 12 hits in 8.1 innings for a 14.05 ERA in his last two starts. He now stands at 9-9 and his ERA is 4.88 on the season.

Retread Joe Blanton doesn’t inspire. He’s 3-5 with a 6.21 ERA this campaign.

If GM Ruben Amaro Jr. is unsuccessful hitting the speed dial in hopes of fueling a trade to improve the rotation, don’t be surprised if middle reliever Chad Durbin, recently reactivated after spending three weeks on the DL with a right hamstring injury, settles into the starting rotation.

In addition, lefthander Antonio Bastardo was recently activated from the DL and optioned to Lehigh Valley. He also becomes a viable option.

"I would rather be fresh than tired going into the second half," Durbin said. "We're definitely fresher mentally."

Welcome back

The cleanup hitters from both squads, Ryan Howard of the Phillies and Aramis Ramirez of the Cubs, have been mired in disappointing seasons – until most recently.

Howard, the 125-million dollar man, was hitting .280 with a meager .788 OPS on June 4.

In one month's worth of games, from June 15 to July 15, Howard has hit .327 with a 1.062 OPS. He has nine home runs, three triples and four doubles during that time, and has scored 21 runs to go with 26 RBIs.

In Friday's game against the Cubs, Howard added another home run, his 20th of the season, and his batting average is now up to .298.

Howard’s $17 million counterpart, Ramirez, is finally heating up too after having been stuck in a slump most of the season.

Ramirez hit a solo homer with two outs in the bottom of the eighth Friday, sending the Cubs to a 4-3 comeback win over Philadelphia.

"Yeah I feel pretty good at the plate. Even when I make an out, I've been able to hit the ball hard," Ramirez said. "That's a good sign."

It was his fifth homer and 14th RBI in the last eight games. He had three hits to raise his batting average to .220.

"He's staying on the ball well. He's taking good swings at pitches and he's driving the ball. It's big difference from the first half. One of the ingredients that was missing here obviously," Chicago manager Lou Piniella said. "And now it's back."

Don’t count us out

Piniella's Cubs always have been a second-half team. The numbers from his first three seasons verify it.

But Piniella's Cubs have never been this far underwater to start a second half, and it seems as if only a tidal wave can bring them back to the surface.

Not according to Piniella, though.

"Nine games is not insurmountable. I look forward to the challenge, but we've got to get it done on the field. We need to play better baseball than we did the first half. Are we capable? Yes. And I'm hopeful that we will."

In his first three seasons with Chicago, Piniella has used the second half to make a difference, winning 40 or more games each campaign.

They were 41-34 in his first season after the 2007 All-Star break, then 40-26 in their dominating 2008 season. Even last season, when the Cubs fell short of their division-championship goal, they were 40-35 in the second half.

Winning 40 games in the second half would give the 2010 Cubs 79 victories, a moral comeback if nothing else.

According to Piniella, there's one simple key to getting back on track, and that's more consistency from day to day.

"That's what we need: consistency," Piniella said. "When we swung the bats and put runs on the board, we won our share of ballgames. When we don't, we haven't had success."

Here’s the pitch

Philadelphia ace Roy Halladay matches serves with Chicago southpaw stopgap Tom Gorzelanny this evening in an apparent pitching mismatch. Halladay is 3-1 in his last four starts with a 1.39 ERA. He’s pitched well in two career starts against the Cubs, both losses, posting a 3.00 ERA.

The veteran All-Star has struggled of late during the month of July, going 2-8 in his last 10-team starts.

Gorzelanny is 1-6 in his last seven team starts, sporting a 5.66 ERA in the process. The lefthander has split his two career starts against the Phillies, with a 3.88 ERA.
 
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Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Los Angeles Sparks at San Antonio Silver Stars (-6.5, 161.5)

Los Angeles has dropped seven of their last nine games, but San Antonio is falling at a more alarming rate. The Silver Stars have lost three consecutive games, going 0-3 against the spread in those contests and being outscored by an average margin of 18.3 ppg.

"Right now, I don't like the taste of this," San Antonio's Chamique Holdsclaw said. "We're all disappointed, but you know, like coach said, if we hang our heads, they will continue to hang for the next two or three games. We just have to shake this off and continue to move forward."

Friday’s home loss to Tulsa as 9.5-point favorites was an embarrassing one for the Silver Stars. Tulsa has been the punching bag of the league this season and rolled into that contest on a 12-game losing streak.

San Antonio’s defense has been suspect of late, allowing the Shock to shoot 53.6 percent from the field. Each of the Silver Stars’ last three opponents have shot better than 50 percent.

The home team has won and covered in the last four games of this series but this is too many points for San Antonio to be laying while performing so poorly. Sharps have already moved this spread down a point after opening at 7.5 and bettors should follow the steam.

Pick: Sparks


Indiana Fever at New York Liberty (+1.5, 145)

The Liberty are beginning to play well behind two straight victories but Indiana has their number.

New York has dropped six straight games against the best team in the league, going 1-5 at the wagering window in that stretch. Dating back to 2007, the Fever have won nine of 10 games in this series and gone 8-2 ATS during that timeframe.

Indiana comes into this matchup off a home win over Atlanta where it covered as 6.5-point favorites. The victory was a rebound effort after a head-scratching loss to Connecticut two nights earlier.

"I think we all felt a little bit better," Jessica Davenport said. "I think we're going to build on this and carry it over."

"Everybody sent a message that we are the defending Eastern Conference champions," Katie Douglas added.

There has been a reverse line movement in this contest. New York opened as a 1-point favorite but are now underdogs after money came flooding in on the Fever. The aforementioned trends are too strong to ignore and Indy should be able to cover the short number Sunday.

Pick: Fever
 
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BETTORS TIPS AND NOTES
Bettor's Best Friend (BBF): Sunday's Wagering Tips

Lines Off The Board

Phillies at Cubs – The total for the game is not available due to the uncertainty of wind speed and direction at Wrigley Field.
Tigers at Indians – Cleveland’s starting pitcher for the game has not been announced (see note below).

Lines To Keep An Eye On

Blue Jays at Orioles – The total for this game has dropped from an opener of 9 to 8.5 on most boards.
Indiana Fever at New York Liberty – The home squad opened as a 1-point favorite but that pointspread has reversed and made New York a 1.5-point underdog. The game’s total has also moved from 147 down to 145.

Weather Report
(Forecasts are extracted from Weather.com the night before the game.)

Athletics at Royals – The National Weather Service projects an 11 mph wind to blow across the diamond from first to third. There is also a 30 percent chance of rain.
Nationals at Marlins – The forecast calls for a 16 mph wind to blow in from right field and a 30 percent chance of rain.
Brewers at Braves – A 30-40 percent chance of rain is called for.

Who’s Hot

The Braves are 21-4 in their last 25 home games.
San Francisco is 8-1 in its last nine games.
Washington (WNBA) is 4-1 SU and ATS in its last five outings.

Who’s Not

The Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 road games.
Going into Friday, the Red Sox had lost seven of their last nine contests.
San Antonio (WNBA) is 0-3 SU and ATS in its last three outings.

Key Stat

3 – Number of British Open winners that have come from behind to win in the final round the last three years.

Return That Shouldn’t Be Overlooked

Phillies third baseman Placido Polanco was activated from the disabled list and returned to the lineup on Saturday after missing 18 games with tendinitis in his triceps. Polanco made an immediate impact after driving in the game-tying run in the top of the ninth inning against Chicago. Philadelphia was happy to have the veteran infielder back, as the team has hit .230 since Polanco and star second baseman Chase Utley went down with injury.

Game Of The Day

Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs (+145)

Notable Quotable

"He may not immediately recall the name of every former player from his many years of coaching, but that does not diminish what those players meant to him or how much he cares about them. He still remembers the words of a hymn or a jazz standard, but may not feel up to going to a concert. He still plays golf, though usually only for nine holes instead of 18."
-- Dean Smith’s family wrote in a letter addressing the severity of the former North Carolina basketball coach’s memory loss.

Tips And Notes

- While many expected Louis Oosthuizen to fall back to earth during the third round of the British Open, he went out and shot 3-under par. He now holds a four-stroke lead over Paul Casey and is a -125 favorite to hoist the claret jug Sunday (+300 to win after Friday). The 27-year-old South African made 19 birdies through the first three rounds – the most by a player at St. Andrews in the last three Open Championships. Oosthuizen has led since Friday and the last four 36-hole leaders at the Old Course have gone on to win the major.

- Cleveland minor-league pitcher David Huff may have cost himself a callup to The Show. On Friday night Huff posted on his Twitter account that he was going to be pitching in a spot start on Sunday. The account was deleted an hour later and Indians pitching coach Tim Belcher said Huff’s callup “may or may not happen” now. This series finale between the Tigers and Tribe is off the board. The two teams played a doubleheader Saturday and Cleveland used a total of five relievers.

- Detroit manager Jim Leyland held a mandatory workout at 2 p.m. Friday to shake off any All-Star break rust on his players before a 5 p.m. game versus Cleveland. The Tigers only managed two runs in the loss and Leyland admitted the workout was not effective saying that his team looked “sluggish in every phase.” But maybe the skipper drained his club of any energy it might have regained during the break. Detroit only scored three runs in Game 1 Saturday and two in the second leg of the doubleheader.
 
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Hondo

Hondo made a strong move on the deficit last night when his gritty, gutty victories with the A's and Sawx lowered the nasty number to 890 hootons.

Today, Mr. Aitch will go with Price and Padilla be cause he feels it's important to give P's a chance -- 10 units apiece on the Rays and Dodgers.
 
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"Bulgarian Paid service"

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DUNKEL MLB

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota

The White Sox look to bounce back from yesterday's 3-2 loss and build on their 7-0 record in their last 7 games after scoring 2 runs or less in the previous game. Chicago is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the White Sox favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 18
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Washington at Florida (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Stammen) 15.499; Florida (Sanabia) 14.459
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+125); Over

Game 953-954: Colorado at Cincinnati (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 14.649; Cincinnati (Wood) 15.857
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-140); Under

Game 955-956: Houston at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 14.657; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.020
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Houston (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-145); Over

Game 957-958: Milwaukee at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Parra) 13.907; Atlanta (Lowe) 14.988
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-175); Under

Game 959-960: LA Dodgers at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Padilla) 15.620; St. Louis (Suppan) 15.411
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-145); Over

Game 961-962: NY Mets at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 15.737; San Francisco (Sanchez) 15.641
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-115); Under

Game 963-964: Arizona at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Jackson) 14.663; San Diego (Correia) 14.492
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Over

Game 965-966: Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Halladay) 16.350; Cubs (Gorzelanny) 15.127
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-170); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-170); N/A

Game 967-968: Detroit at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Oliver) 14.500; Cleveland (Gomez) 15.564
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 15.766; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 16.723
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Under

Game 971-972: Toronto at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Marcum) 15.350; Baltimore (Matusz) 15.038
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-140); Under

Game 973-974: Texas at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Wilson) 14.006; Boston (Lester) 15.136
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-150); Over

Game 975-976: Oakland at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Mazzaro) 14.864; Kansas City (Bannister) 15.665
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-105); Under

Game 977-978: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Garcia) 16.824; Minnesota (Blackburn) 15.862
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-110); Over

Game 979-980: Seattle at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 15.074; LA Angels (Santana) 14.184
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125); Under
 

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